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Six months ago, PartyPoker looked in much worse shape than today. The average number of occupied seats at active cash game tables was sometimes even below 4,000. Since a week or so, this number is above 6,000 on a 7 day average - a strength PartyPoker hadn't seen in a year.

Now, the stock market and player lows of last autumn / winter already seem forgotten. PartyPoker seems to be back on track, with improvements in their VIP system and software in the recent months and still a steady stream of fishes that still favour the big name brand that PartyPoker still is.

Looking at the recently released quarterly report, one can see their upswing especially in an early indicator: the number of new real money player sign-ups on PartyPoker. This number, mainly constituent of players new to poker (thus mostly fishes) might allow a projection of future cash game traffic:

 

Quarter New Real Money Player Sign-Ups
Q1 05 33.900
Q2 05 42.200
Q3 05 55.700
Q4 05 72.600
Q1 06 103.200
Q2 06  106.400
Q3 06 129.900
Q4 06 130.400
Q1 07 209.800
Q2 07 134.200
Q3 07 110.400
Q4 07 118.600
Q1 08 130.900
Q2 08 104.300
Q3 08 92.100
Q4 08 117.700
Q1 09 132.700

As you can see, this number of new players has not been reached for nearly two years! Take this signal and combine it with the recent year-on-year growth of the whole poker industry of an estimated 25%, and you will have a lot of arguments against all those people who forecast the end of the poker boom since years.

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